A semiannual overview of recent research contributions in cognitive diagnosis, forced-choice formats, and methodological advances in psychology and psychometrics. Each paper is summarized in plain language with key insights highlighted for a broad academic and applied audience.


📚 2025 (first half) Publications Summary

🔹 Cognitive Diagnosis and Forced-Choice Models

🧾 Nájera et al. (2025)

“Assessing item-level fit for the sequential G-DINA model”
Behaviormetrika
This paper addresses a gap in diagnostic classification modeling: how to assess whether each item in a test fits the assumed model when responses are graded or sequential (e.g., multi-step open-ended tasks). The authors adapt three fit indices from classical test theory—the chi-squared statistic, likelihood-ratio statistic, and power-divergence index—to work with the Sequential G-DINA model.

Key points: - The model handles multi-category (polytomous) responses that depend on a latent sequence of cognitive steps. - Fit statistics are computed using posterior pseudo-counts and tested via parametric bootstrap. - Simulation results show the proposed methods are conservative but powerful when detecting major misspecifications.

🧾 Nájera et al. (2025)

“A general diagnostic modelling framework for forced-choice assessments”
British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology
This paper proposes an extension of cognitive diagnosis models to handle forced-choice (FC) formats, which are used to reduce response biases (e.g., social desirability). It adapts the G-DINA model to handle paired statements, allowing each to measure a different latent trait.

Innovations: - Provides a general model for binary forced-choice blocks that improves on Huang’s (2023) FC-DCM by allowing more flexible response patterns. - Accommodates heteropolar and homopolar blocks, enabling normative interpretation of traits. - Supports practical implementation with Q-matrix design guidelines, Bayesian estimation, and software integration via the GDINA R package.


🔹 Questionnaire Design and Response Bias

🧾 Graña, Kreitchmann, Abad, & Sorrel (2024)

“Equally vs. unequally keyed blocks in forced-choice questionnaires: Implications on validity and reliability”
Journal of Personality Assessment
This experimental study compares equally-keyed (homopolar) vs. unequally-keyed (heteropolar) blocks in FC questionnaires measuring the Big Five. Using IRT-based models (specifically MUPP-2PL), they assess how item keying direction impacts reliability, criterion validity, and ipsativity.

Findings: - No consistent psychometric advantage for heteropolar blocks. - Slight increases in reliability and validity in specific traits, but small overall effect sizes. - Practical difficulties in constructing heteropolar blocks with matched social desirability ratings. - Recommendations: prefer equally-keyed designs unless strong justification exists for heteropolar use.


🔹 Predictive Modeling in Psychology

🧾 Iglesias, Sorrel, & Olmos (2025)

“Cross-validation and predictive metrics in psychological research: Do not leave out the leave-one-out”
Behavior Research Methods
This methodological paper critiques standard practices for estimating predictive accuracy in regression models. It proposes a reformulated leave-one-out (LOO) cross-validation approach that computes the out-of-sample R² via a pooled error term (PRESS/MST), solving known biases in conventional CV implementations.

Contributions: - Shows that LOO offers more stable and less biased R² estimates than 5-fold or 10-fold CV, especially in small samples. - Implements methods in the R package OutR2. - Simulations and real data (Many Labs Replication Project) confirm the robustness of the approach.

🔗 Closing Thoughts

These works share a common goal: enhancing the precision, interpretability, and fairness of psychological measurement—whether by improving test models, detecting fit issues, or refining how predictions are evaluated. Each contribution balances rigorous methodology with clear application potential in education, clinical, and organizational contexts.


All articles available upon request or via journal links. Summaries using IA by M.A. Sorrel. For collaboration, contact .